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Over/Under 0.5 & 1.5 goals per half, from the historical bucket-hit-rate engine (not the beta pricing model below): 1H bets use only the match's pre-match/closing config, 2H bets additionally condition on the actual HT score. Shows probability, the baseline historical rate it's measured against, and fair odds. A bet disappears once its half is over (1H bets) or before an HT anchor exists (2H bets).

Shows an additional panel per match priced by the new market-implied hazard/gamma-Poisson engine (E5), alongside the existing bucket-hit-rate numbers above — for comparison only, doesn't replace them.

Narrows the panel to Over FT (match's own closing TL), BTTS Yes, and Over 0.5/1.5 2H — the markets with real walk-forward validation AND a genuine live "wait for the market to lag" edge (Under-type bets are HT-entry only, so excluded) — and hides any market whose outcome is already decided by the current score.

HT score for live 2H odds is captured automatically the first time each match is seen crossing halftime — no manual entry needed. Matches opened mid-2nd-half show closing-odds signal only until a fresh HT is captured.

Restricts which live matches are shown by their own league — obscure leagues have thinner historical pools and underperformed out-of-sample in past backtesting. MAJOR+ recommended.

HT score (Home – Away)

Current score, if 2nd half in play (Home – Away)

2H bets marked MODEL once a live minute is entered: half-split, score-state and AH-line effects are calibrated from this app's own dataset; the within-half timing shape is sourced from published research, not backtested here — toggle above to compare against flat (no clustering) decay.